Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

equity · CN

Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co., Ltd. Class A backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co., Ltd. Class A. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; EMA 크로스오버 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester. The return/drawdown alternative is Parabolic SAR (CAGR 19.4%, MDD -49.4%).

Data 2016-11-22 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 2,352 (9.7 years)Costs 0.5%Venue SZSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 23.9%, drawdown -84.0%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): EMA 크로스오버 — CAGR 19.3%, MDD -51.9%, Sharpe 0.71, 51% exposure.

CAGR reference leader: Parabolic SAR — CAGR 19.4%, MDD -49.4%, exposure 52%.

Return/drawdown alternative: Parabolic SAR — CAGR is 4.6%p lower than buy and hold, while drawdown improves by 32.0%p (CAGR 19.4%, MDD -49.4%, exposure 52%).

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
EMA 크로스오버
fast=27, slow=199
19.3%-51.9%0.710.375.5x1151%
Parabolic SAR
step=0.01, maxStep=0.08
19.4%-49.4%0.710.395.6x12252%
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=85, exitN=43
16.0%-52.8%0.640.304.2x1344%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=18, slow=125
16.0%-56.1%0.620.294.2x2153%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=92, atrPeriod=27, mult=1.5
15.0%-41.9%0.600.363.9x3749%
ROC 모멘텀
n=95, threshold=-0.01
14.0%-65.6%0.560.213.6x8156%
Supertrend
period=13, mult=2
11.6%-53.0%0.500.222.9x11252%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=22, k=3
5.5%-24.5%0.400.221.7x209%
MACD
fast=7, slow=32, signal=19
7.0%-56.8%0.380.121.9x15249%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=30, threshold=25
4.0%-25.9%0.350.161.5x1411%
Buy and hold23.9%-84.0%0.710.298.0x1100%
1x 10x 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 Parabolic SAREMA 크로스오버Buy and hold
EMA 크로스오버 (Sharpe leader), Parabolic SAR (CAGR reference), Buy and hold.
0% -21% -42% -63% -84% 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 Buy and holdParabolic SAREMA 크로스오버
EMA 크로스오버 maximum drawdown -51.9% (2021-11-29 → 2025-06-19), recovered after 1,689 days.

Rules of the top strategy

Uses two exponential averages (more weight on recent prices) and trades their crossover.

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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