Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

equity · CN

Jiangsu Sidike New Materials Science & Technology Co., Ltd. Class A backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Jiangsu Sidike New Materials Science & Technology Co., Ltd. Class A. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; Parabolic SAR ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester. The return/drawdown alternative is Parabolic SAR (CAGR 46.1%, MDD -51.7%).

Data 2019-11-25 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 1,621 (6.7 years)Costs 0.5%Venue SZSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 46.5%, drawdown -76.8%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): Parabolic SAR — CAGR 46.1%, MDD -51.7%, Sharpe 1.05, 50% exposure.

Return/drawdown alternative: Parabolic SAR — CAGR is 0.4%p lower than buy and hold, while drawdown improves by 25.1%p (CAGR 46.1%, MDD -51.7%, exposure 50%).

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
Parabolic SAR
step=0.02, maxStep=0.24
46.1%-51.7%1.050.8912.6x13050%
MACD
fast=19, slow=29, signal=14
32.3%-48.9%0.860.666.5x7647%
Supertrend
period=10, mult=4.2
35.1%-66.0%0.860.537.4x2061%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=21, k=1.8
28.8%-47.2%0.840.615.4x5633%
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=63, exitN=64
32.2%-54.6%0.830.596.5x749%
ROC 모멘텀
n=52, threshold=0.11
27.3%-49.7%0.780.555.0x6040%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=14, atrPeriod=20, mult=1.7
22.8%-33.8%0.780.673.9x4422%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=57, slow=164
28.6%-59.0%0.780.485.4x1352%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=38, slow=125
25.5%-62.9%0.720.414.6x1158%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=23, threshold=12
17.5%-74.1%0.580.242.9x7255%
Buy and hold46.5%-76.8%0.940.6112.8x1100%
1x 10x 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Parabolic SARBuy and hold
Parabolic SAR: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -19% -38% -58% -77% 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Buy and holdParabolic SAR
Parabolic SAR maximum drawdown -51.7% (2021-11-12 → 2024-08-20), recovered after 1,188 days.

Rules of the top strategy

Trades around the Parabolic SAR dots that accelerate toward price.

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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