Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

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Bharti Airtel Limited backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Bharti Airtel Limited. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; Donchian 채널 돌파 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester. The return/drawdown alternative is Supertrend (CAGR 18.3%, MDD -30.9%).

Data 2002-07-01 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 5,981 (24.1 years)Costs 0.5%Venue NSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 22.2%, drawdown -56.9%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): Donchian 채널 돌파 — CAGR 21.4%, MDD -50.0%, Sharpe 0.83, 67% exposure.

Return/drawdown alternative: Supertrend — CAGR is 0.8%p lower than buy and hold, while drawdown improves by 6.9%p (CAGR 18.3%, MDD -30.9%, exposure 56%).

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=52, exitN=59
21.4%-50.0%0.830.43106.0x3167%
Supertrend
period=27, mult=4.9
18.3%-30.9%0.780.5956.7x4856%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=18, slow=132
19.2%-52.2%0.780.3768.5x5164%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=43, slow=139
19.7%-66.5%0.780.3076.1x3068%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=75, k=1.7
16.2%-43.4%0.760.3737.0x7547%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=50, atrPeriod=23, mult=2.6
11.3%-51.7%0.620.2213.2x8035%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=39, threshold=11
12.4%-60.9%0.610.2016.7x18545%
ROC 모멘텀
n=95, threshold=0
13.7%-69.6%0.600.2021.9x20765%
MACD
fast=38, slow=59, signal=39
10.2%-79.7%0.510.1310.4x13753%
Parabolic SAR
step=0.01, maxStep=0.34
3.5%-76.5%0.260.052.3x33954%
Buy and hold22.2%-56.9%0.750.39125.1x1100%
1x 10x 100x 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 Donchian 채널 돌파Buy and hold
Donchian 채널 돌파: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -14% -28% -43% -57% 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 Buy and holdDonchian 채널 돌파
Donchian 채널 돌파 maximum drawdown -50.0% (2007-10-15 → 2014-05-08), recovered after 4,473 days.

Rules of the top strategy

A new high means a trend starting; a new low means it’s over (turtle-trading style).

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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