Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

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Tata Investment Corporation Limited backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Tata Investment Corporation Limited. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; Supertrend ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester.

Data 1996-01-01 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 7,679 (30.6 years)Costs 0.5%Venue NSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 14.2%, drawdown -74.6%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): Supertrend — CAGR 11.9%, MDD -72.5%, Sharpe 0.53, 53% exposure.

No strategy retained at least 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR while reducing drawdown by both 20% relatively and 5 percentage points absolutely.

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
Supertrend
period=26, mult=4.6
11.9%-72.5%0.530.1631.3x12353%
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=104, exitN=39
10.7%-69.2%0.520.1522.4x4635%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=52, slow=98
11.1%-84.9%0.500.1325.3x8757%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=39, k=3.4
8.4%-50.5%0.500.1711.7x6618%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=34, threshold=26
7.2%-55.4%0.470.138.5x5419%
ROC 모멘텀
n=86, threshold=-0.03
9.3%-81.5%0.440.1115.0x31365%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=61, slow=80
8.7%-78.1%0.430.1113.0x6457%
Parabolic SAR
step=0.005, maxStep=0.28
7.4%-73.2%0.390.108.9x19852%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=37, atrPeriod=11, mult=2.9
6.6%-65.0%0.390.107.0x11223%
MACD
fast=18, slow=26, signal=13
6.9%-77.4%0.380.097.7x40749%
Buy and hold14.2%-74.6%0.540.1958.3x1100%
1x 10x 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025 SupertrendBuy and hold
Supertrend: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -19% -37% -56% -75% 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025 Buy and holdSupertrend
Supertrend maximum drawdown -72.5% (1997-05-22 → 2002-10-29), recovered after 3,001 days.

Rules of the top strategy

Trades the direction of a volatility-based trend line that trails below/above price.

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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