Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어
equity · TW
L&K Engineering Co. Ltd. backtest
10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of L&K Engineering Co. Ltd.. 7 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; SMA 크로스오버 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester. The return/drawdown alternative is ADX / DI 방향성 (CAGR 11.2%, MDD -41.0%).
Results by strategy
7 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 11.1%, drawdown -77.3%).
Sharpe leader (same as main): SMA 크로스오버 — CAGR 15.9%, MDD -56.5%, Sharpe 0.66, 53% exposure.
Return/drawdown alternative: ADX / DI 방향성 — CAGR is 4.8%p higher than buy and hold, while drawdown improves by 20.8%p (CAGR 11.2%, MDD -41.0%, exposure 22%).
The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.
| Strategy · parameters | CAGR | MDD | Sharpe | Calmar | Total | Trades | Exposure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 크로스오버 fast=11, slow=33 |
15.9% | -56.5% | 0.66 | 0.28 | 29.3x | 170 | 53% |
| Keltner 채널 돌파 emaPeriod=55, atrPeriod=13, mult=3.7 |
13.5% | -42.5% | 0.66 | 0.32 | 18.1x | 48 | 26% |
| Supertrend period=25, mult=3.6 |
14.0% | -56.5% | 0.62 | 0.25 | 20.2x | 118 | 49% |
| 볼린저 밴드 돌파 n=33, k=0.9 |
13.6% | -48.1% | 0.61 | 0.28 | 18.8x | 198 | 44% |
| ADX / DI 방향성 period=24, threshold=24 |
11.2% | -41.0% | 0.59 | 0.27 | 11.4x | 66 | 22% |
| Donchian 채널 돌파 entryN=22, exitN=26 |
13.5% | -61.2% | 0.58 | 0.22 | 18.2x | 98 | 53% |
| Parabolic SAR step=0.01, maxStep=0.32 |
11.3% | -60.2% | 0.53 | 0.19 | 11.5x | 248 | 50% |
| MACD fast=23, slow=57, signal=13 |
9.2% | -45.6% | 0.47 | 0.20 | 7.6x | 224 | 52% |
| ROC 모멘텀 n=76, threshold=0.01 |
8.0% | -73.4% | 0.41 | 0.11 | 5.9x | 219 | 50% |
| EMA 크로스오버 fast=7, slow=164 |
7.5% | -78.4% | 0.39 | 0.10 | 5.3x | 95 | 50% |
| Buy and hold | 11.1% | -77.3% | 0.47 | 0.14 | 11.1x | 1 | 100% |
Rules of the top strategy
When the short average rises above the long average, it reads that as an uptrend starting.
- Buy — Buy when the 11-day average price crosses above the 33-day average
- Sell — Sell (to cash) when the 11-day average falls below the 33-day average